{"id":4955,"date":"2025-04-11T17:01:32","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T11:31:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.torusdigital.com\/toruscope\/?p=4955"},"modified":"2025-04-11T17:01:32","modified_gmt":"2025-04-11T11:31:32","slug":"analysing-the-impact-of-the-90-day-us-tariff-pause-on-indian-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.torusdigital.com\/toruscope\/news\/analysing-the-impact-of-the-90-day-us-tariff-pause-on-indian-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Trump\u2019s 90-Day Tariff Pause Fuel a Short-Term Stock Market Rally in India?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_section el_id=&#8221;blog-inner-layout&#8221;][vc_row overlay_dotted=&#8221;&#8221;][vc_column el_class=&#8221;blog_primary&#8221;][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a surprising move that sent ripples through global markets, US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on certain tariffs, providing temporary relief to traders and investors worldwide, including India. While the <\/span><b>US tariff pause<\/b><b>\u200b<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> excludes China, which now faces increased tariffs of 145%, the decision has sparked positive sentiment across international markets and could potentially trigger a short-term rally in Indian equities.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Understanding_the_US_Tariff_Pause_and_its_Global_Context\"><\/span><b>Understanding the US Tariff Pause and its Global Context<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">President Trump\u2019s decision to temporarily ease <\/span><b>trade relations<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">between the United States and several countries comes at a crucial time for the global economy. The announcement followed a period of intense market volatility, with Wall Street experiencing some of its most turbulent sessions after the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 90-day <\/span><b>US tariff pause<\/b><b>\u200b<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">applies to higher-band tariffs for 59 territories, though a 10% baseline tariff remains in place for all countries, including India. This new minimum rate represents a significant shift in America\u2019s trading relationships globally.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For Indian markets, which remained closed on Thursday (April 10, 2025) for Mahavir Jayanti, this development led to a strong gap-up opening with Sensex soaring over 1244 points and the Nifty 50 climbing more than 400 points.\u00a0 If we check the other Asian markets, Japan\u2019s Nikkei jumped over 2,000 points and Taiwan\u2019s weighted index surged 9.2%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Immediate_Global_Market_Impact_on_India\"><\/span><b>Immediate Global Market Impact on India<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The immediate reaction to Trump\u2019s announcement has been overwhelmingly positive across international markets. On Wall Street, the Nasdaq soared 12.16%, while the S&amp;P 500 jumped 9.52% and the Dow Jones gained 7.87%. European markets also responded favourably, with indices rising to 6%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For India, this news comes alongside other positive domestic developments:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Reserve Bank of India recently announced a 25 basis points rate cut<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inflation projections for the current financial year have been trimmed to 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Normal monsoon forecasts for 2025 have further brightened the economic outlook<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the RBI has slightly reduced GDP growth projections for FY26 to 6.5% (down from 6.7%), citing global trade and policy uncertainties, the overall macroeconomic picture remains relatively stable compared to many other economies.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Benefits_for_Indian_Exports_and_Key_Sectors\"><\/span><b>Benefits for Indian Exports and Key Sectors<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 90-day pause in higher tariffs represents a significant reprieve for several sectors of the Indian economy that rely heavily on exports to the United States. In particular, <\/span><b>Indian exports<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">of shrimp and other seafood products have received temporary <\/span><b>economic relief<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">after facing the prospect of a 26% tariff.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe decision to halt further tariffs is especially a relief for Indian shrimp exporters,\u201d noted a government official when talking to Reuters, referring to an industry that had faced a tariff disadvantage compared to competitors like Ecuador.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other key sectors that stand to benefit include:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Electronics products (worth nearly $14 billion in exports)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gems and jewellery (over $9 billion in exports)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pharmaceuticals<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Textiles and garments<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This reprieve allows these industries to maintain their competitiveness in the American market, at least for the next three months.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Accelerating_Trade_Relations_Between_India_and_the_US\"><\/span><b>Accelerating Trade Relations Between India and the US<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>US tariff pause<\/b><b>\u200b<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">comes at an opportune time, as India and the United States are already working on a comprehensive trade deal. During a meeting held between President Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi in February, the two nations agreed to fast-track negotiations on the first phase of a trade agreement to be concluded by the end of 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cIndia is one of the first nations to start talks over a trade deal with the United States and to have jointly agreed to a deadline to conclude it,\u201d said a government official who spoke to Reuters on condition of anonymity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 90-day pause provides Indian negotiators with additional time to work towards finalising this bilateral trade deal, potentially strengthening <\/span><b>trade relations<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">between the two countries in the longer term.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Economic_Relief_and_Future_Outlook\"><\/span><b>Economic Relief and Future Outlook<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the tariff suspension offers <\/span><b>economic relief<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to Indian businesses and markets, it\u2019s important to note that this is a temporary measure. The continuation of the baseline 10% tariff on all countries, including India, still represents a shift from previous trading conditions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the Indian economy, however, the <\/span><b>global market impact<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u200b<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">of these tariffs may be relatively contained. As Crisil noted, \u201cFor India, merchandise exports to the US accounted for only 2-2.5% of the gross domestic product (GDP) in the three years through FY2024.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Additionally, strong balance sheets in export-oriented sectors may provide a cushion to credit profiles during this period of volatile global trade environment, offering some protection against potential future disruptions.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Investor_Sentiment_and_Market_Strategies\"><\/span><b>Investor Sentiment and Market Strategies<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>US tariff pause<\/b><b>\u200b<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">undoubtedly improved <\/span><b>investor sentiment<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">globally. However, investors should remain cautious. The Indian Rupee strengthened against the US Dollar following the announcement, rising 51 paise to 86.17 in early trade on the back of a strong equity market opening, a weakening greenback, and declining oil prices. While this is positive news for importers, it may partially offset gains for export-oriented businesses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Furthermore, as evidenced by the subsequent market pullback in the US on Thursday (with the Dow Jones falling 2.5% after its initial 8% surge), volatility remains a concern. The uncertainty over what will ultimately happen with tariffs after the 90-day period continues to create unpredictability in global markets.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Final_Thoughts_Navigating_Uncertain_Waters\"><\/span><b>Final Thoughts: Navigating Uncertain Waters<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">President Trump\u2019s 90-day tariff pause represents a significant but temporary reprieve for global markets, including India. The suspension has opened a window\u2002for Indian companies to rework their plans, and for Indian negotiators to make headway on a bilateral trade deal with the United States.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the market reaction is positive, long-term and fundamental investors must note that uncertainty on global trade policy will remain. The 90-day lifeline is welcome breathing space, but the\u2002underlying factors that sparked the trade tensions have not gone away, especially when it comes to US relations with China.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stay ahead in volatile markets\u2014get market insights with Torus Digital!<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner el_id=&#8221;share_rating&#8221;][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/2&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h6>Rate this article<\/h6>\n<!-- FeedbackWP Plugin --><div  class=\"rmp-widgets-container rmp-wp-plugin rmp-main-container js-rmp-widgets-container js-rmp-widgets-container--4955 \"  data-post-id=\"4955\">    <!-- Rating widget -->  <div class=\"rmp-rating-widget js-rmp-rating-widget\">            <div class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons\">      <ul class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list js-rmp-rating-icons-list\">                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Terrible!\" data-value=\"1\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Bad!\" data-value=\"2\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Okay!\" data-value=\"3\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Good!\" data-value=\"4\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Great!\" data-value=\"5\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>              <\/ul>    <\/div>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__hover-text js-rmp-hover-text\"><\/p>    <button class=\"rmp-rating-widget__submit-btn rmp-btn js-submit-rating-btn\">      Submit Rating    <\/button>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__results js-rmp-results \">       <span class=\"rmp-rating-widget__results__rating js-rmp-avg-rating\">5<\/span> \/ 5.  <span class=\"rmp-rating-widget__results__votes js-rmp-vote-count\">4<\/span>    <\/p>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__not-rated js-rmp-not-rated rmp-rating-widget__not-rated--hidden\">          <\/p>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__msg js-rmp-msg\"><\/p>  <\/div>  <!--Structured data -->        <\/div>\n<div id=\"emoji-overlay\" style=\"display: none;\">\n<div id=\"overlay-emoji\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"overlay-description\" class=\"emoji-text\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"rating-popup\">\n<p><span id=\"popup-close\">\u00d7<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"popup_message\">\n<div id=\"popup-emoji\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"popup_innermsg\">\n<h5>Thank You for Rating Our Article!<\/h5>\n<p>Your feedback is incredibly valuable to us, and we&#8217;re thrilled to hear your thoughts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/2&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h6>Share this article<\/h6>\n<div class=\"cscra-social square cscra-socials-679c8a1122c00\">\n        <a href=\"\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.torusdigital.com%2Ftoruscope%2Fnews%2Fanalysing-the-impact-of-the-90-day-us-tariff-pause-on-indian-markets%2F&t=Will+Trump%E2%80%99s+90-Day+Tariff+Pause+Fuel+a+Short-Term+Stock+Market+Rally+in+India%3F\" class=\"facebook\" data-toggle=\"tooltip\" data-placement=\"top\" title=\"Share On Facebook\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fa fa-facebook\"><\/i><\/a>\n        <a href=\"\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Will+Trump%E2%80%99s+90-Day+Tariff+Pause+Fuel+a+Short-Term+Stock+Market+Rally+in+India%3F&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.torusdigital.com%2Ftoruscope%2Fnews%2Fanalysing-the-impact-of-the-90-day-us-tariff-pause-on-indian-markets%2F\" class=\"twitter\" data-toggle=\"tooltip\" data-placement=\"top\" title=\"Share On Twitter\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fa-brands fa-x-twitter\"><\/i><\/a>\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/api.whatsapp.com\/send?text=Will+Trump%E2%80%99s+90-Day+Tariff+Pause+Fuel+a+Short-Term+Stock+Market+Rally+in+India%3F - 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While the US tariff pause\u200b excludes China, which now faces increased tariffs of 145%, the decision has sparked positive sentiment","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4956,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[169],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Analysing the Impact of the 90-Day US Tariff Pause on Indian Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The recent announcement of a 90-day US tariff pause is expected to influence global markets and affect investor sentiment. 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