{"id":2479,"date":"2025-02-07T10:09:27","date_gmt":"2025-02-07T04:39:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.torusdigital.com\/toruscope\/?p=2479"},"modified":"2025-08-26T17:37:57","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T12:07:57","slug":"first-monetary-policy-of-new-rbi-governor-what-to-expect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.torusdigital.com\/toruscope\/tax\/first-monetary-policy-of-new-rbi-governor-what-to-expect\/","title":{"rendered":"First Monetary Policy of New RBI Governor: What to Expect"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_section el_id=&#8221;blog-inner-layout&#8221;][vc_row overlay_dotted=&#8221;&#8221;][vc_column el_class=&#8221;blog_primary&#8221;][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]The newly appointed Governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Sanjay Malhotra, will announce this year&#8217;s monetary policy on February 7, 2025. The upcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting is significant, as it will mark the Governor&#8217;s first policy review amid ongoing economic challenges and high expectations.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Historically, monetary policy has had a significant impact on financial markets. By analysing past trends and considering various factors, we can assess the expectations of the RBI monetary policy 2025.<\/p>\n<p><strong>So, stay tuned to this blog to gain insights!<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_RBI_Announce_a_Rate_Cut\"><\/span>Will RBI Announce a Rate Cut?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>In the upcoming meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), RBI is expected to announce a cut in the repo rate by 25 basis points. If so, it would be the first interest rate cut since 2020. However, these changes will remain finely balanced.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Several factors support rate cuts, including slow economic growth, the government\u2019s advance estimates, and efforts to boost banking system liquidity. Given the global uncertainties, the central bank may instead prioritise liquidity measures and defer the decision until the April policy review.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In the past week, RBI announced plans to put\u00a0 \u20b91.5 lakh crore into the banking system after injecting \u20b91.16 lakh crore by 50 basis points reduction in the cash reserve ratio. Further, inflation is a persistent challenge. It remains above the RBI\u2019s medium-term target of 4%, and the increasing trade-related issues globally make it worse economically.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The recently announced budget indicates a downward trend in interest rates. However, from a wider perspective, things seem clear, so the precise timing of the next cut remains uncertain.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Factors_Influencing_a_Repo_Rate_Cut_Decision\"><\/span>Key Factors Influencing a Repo Rate Cut Decision<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>While a repo rate cut is one of the major expectations of the RBI monetary policy 2025, it\u2019s important to note that several factors can influence this decision. The following are key elements that will significantly impact the outcome.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Economic_Growth\"><\/span><strong>Economic Growth<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If India&#8217;s GDP growth slows, RBI may decide to cut rates to stimulate demand and investments. The quarterly growth rate for the second quarter of 2024-25 was 5.4%. This shows a sharp decrease from the 6.7% growth rate in the first quarter of 2024-2025. The downward trend reflects the concerns over weakening domestic demand and global economic anticipations.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Inflation_Trends\"><\/span><strong>Inflation Trends<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>One of RBI\u2019s primary goals is to control inflation. A repo rate cut is likely when inflation, particularly Consumer price (CPI) based inflation, is within the RBI\u2019s target range.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In December 2024, the annual inflation rate in India eased to 5.22% from 5.38% the previous month, primarily due to a slowdown in food price hikes. This is loosely aligned with expectations of 5.3% and remains within the RBI\u2019s target of within two percentage points of 4%. However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, remains elevated, indicating persistent price pressures in other sectors.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Fiscal_Policy_and_Government_Borrowing\"><\/span><strong>Fiscal Policy and Government Borrowing<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If the government runs a high fiscal deficit, excessive borrowing can lead to higher yields, making it challenging for the RBI to cut rates.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Recently, with the Union Budget release, the government reduced tax rates to boost spending and spur growth. The net tax is estimated at \u20b928.37 lakh crore.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The fiscal deficit is estimated to be 4.4 percent of GDP, and gross borrowing is approximately \u20b914.82 lakh crore. Monetary and fiscal policy coordination is prominent in determining the timing of repo rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span>Conclusion<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Stakeholders are waiting for the monetary policy committee to conclude the meeting and the RBI monetary policy 2025 expectations are optimistic. The governor will announce the repo rate on February 7.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>With all the speculations going around, prediction about repo rate cuts is expected to boost economic growth. However, RBI takes such measures only after careful consideration of certain factors, including inflation trends, fiscal policy, and borrowings.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, whatever the committee decides in the meeting will guide India\u2019s monetary policy trajectory in the coming months, influencing economic growth and investor confidence.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner el_id=&#8221;share_rating&#8221;][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/2&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h6>Rate this article<\/h6>\n<!-- FeedbackWP Plugin --><div  class=\"rmp-widgets-container rmp-wp-plugin rmp-main-container js-rmp-widgets-container js-rmp-widgets-container--2479 \"  data-post-id=\"2479\">    <!-- Rating widget -->  <div class=\"rmp-rating-widget js-rmp-rating-widget\">            <div class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons\">      <ul class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list js-rmp-rating-icons-list\">                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Terrible!\" data-value=\"1\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Bad!\" data-value=\"2\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Okay!\" data-value=\"3\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Good!\" data-value=\"4\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star rmp-icon--full-highlight\"><\/i>          <\/li>                  <li class=\"rmp-rating-widget__icons-list__icon js-rmp-rating-item\" data-descriptive-rating=\"Great!\" data-value=\"5\">              <i class=\"js-rmp-rating-icon rmp-icon rmp-icon--ratings rmp-icon--star \"><\/i>          <\/li>              <\/ul>    <\/div>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__hover-text js-rmp-hover-text\"><\/p>    <button class=\"rmp-rating-widget__submit-btn rmp-btn js-submit-rating-btn\">      Submit Rating    <\/button>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__results js-rmp-results \">       <span class=\"rmp-rating-widget__results__rating js-rmp-avg-rating\">4<\/span> \/ 5.  <span class=\"rmp-rating-widget__results__votes js-rmp-vote-count\">2<\/span>    <\/p>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__not-rated js-rmp-not-rated rmp-rating-widget__not-rated--hidden\">          <\/p>    <p class=\"rmp-rating-widget__msg js-rmp-msg\"><\/p>  <\/div>  <!--Structured data -->        <\/div>\n<div id=\"emoji-overlay\" style=\"display: none;\">\n<div id=\"overlay-emoji\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"overlay-description\" class=\"emoji-text\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"rating-popup\">\n<p><span id=\"popup-close\">\u00d7<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"popup_message\">\n<div id=\"popup-emoji\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"popup_innermsg\">\n<h5>Thank You for Rating Our Article!<\/h5>\n<p>Your feedback is incredibly valuable to us, and we&#8217;re thrilled to hear your thoughts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/2&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h6>Share this article<\/h6>\n<div class=\"cscra-social square cscra-socials-679c8a1122c00\">\n        <a aria-label=\"Share on Facebook\" href=\"\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.torusdigital.com%2Ftoruscope%2Ftax%2Ffirst-monetary-policy-of-new-rbi-governor-what-to-expect%2F&t=First+Monetary+Policy+of+New+RBI+Governor%3A+What+to+Expect\" class=\"facebook\" data-toggle=\"tooltip\" data-placement=\"top\" title=\"Share On Facebook\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fa fa-facebook\"><\/i><\/a>\n        <a aria-label=\"Share on X\" href=\"\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=First+Monetary+Policy+of+New+RBI+Governor%3A+What+to+Expect&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.torusdigital.com%2Ftoruscope%2Ftax%2Ffirst-monetary-policy-of-new-rbi-governor-what-to-expect%2F\" class=\"twitter\" data-toggle=\"tooltip\" data-placement=\"top\" title=\"Share On Twitter\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fa-brands fa-x-twitter\"><\/i><\/a>\n        <a aria-label=\"Share on Whatsapp\" href=\"https:\/\/api.whatsapp.com\/send?text=First+Monetary+Policy+of+New+RBI+Governor%3A+What+to+Expect - 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The upcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting is significant, as it will mark the Governor&#8217;s first policy review amid ongoing economic challenges and high expectations. &nbsp; Historically, monetary policy","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4597,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tax"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>First Monetary Policy of New RBI Governor: What to Expect - Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get expert insights on the upcoming RBI monetary policy under the new governor. 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